Sunday, November 2, 2008

Draft Measurables Largely Irrelevant

I have spent the last several days analyzing NBA Draft precamp measurables and have determined that, for PGs at least, it means little for the most part. T.J. Ford is one of the quickest PGs in the league, but he didn't really stand out in the 3/4 court sprint or the lane agility tests. One thing interesting that I did notice was that the players closer to the "boom" end of the spectrum actually had slower lane agility times, which I thought was pretty interesting. Maybe GMs overrating players' physical gifts and not looking enough at their numbers.

I also looked through the PGs standing reaches, which is a much better indicator of how "tall" they play than their actual height. It seems the "boom" prospects have larger standing reaches, I will be curious to see if the same holds true for SGs, but it may not. The same can be said over the slower times for lane agility.

Other than that I don't see much that the draft measurables do for these prospects. I didn't test the weights or strength at all, just looking at them it seemed like there wasn't any correlation to success in the NBA. One thing I probably should look at would be a ratio of strength to speed. After that I will call it quits with the PG measurables and move onto their college data, which I still need to design a weighting system for. Let me know if you have any suggestions.

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